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Deutsche Bank Optimistic on Rio Tinto Amid Copper Rally

Asktraders News Team trader
Updated 6 Jun 2024

In a recent update, Deutsche Bank has adjusted its target for shares in global mining giant Rio Tinto (LON : RIO), as copper prices experience a robust surge. The target for Rio Tinto shares has been raised to 6,200p from the previous 6,000p, reflecting confidence in the ongoing dynamics in the copper market.

Copper prices have soared, reaching the bank's prior year-end forecast of $10,000 per tonne earlier than anticipated. This increase is attributed to the combined forces of improved global growth projections and speculative flows seeking advantage in a tightening supply context.

The strong performance of copper is not seen by the bank as a transient phenomenon. With advancements in technology and a move towards greater electrification, as well as the ongoing AI revolution, the demand for copper is only expected to strengthen. Copper's essential role in electrical infrastructure and tech components positions it at the heart of these growing sectors.

A clear example of this strategy is seen in the attempted acquisition by BHP Group of Anglo American, which Deutsche Bank referred to as a ‘copper play.' The move underlines copper's strategic importance and the lengths to which industry players will go to secure their supply chains for the in-demand metal.

In response to these market conditions, Deutsche Bank has reviewed and updated its forecasts for copper prices and accordingly adjusted its estimates for earnings across the spectrum of its European and North American coverage.


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Despite these positive factors, Rio Tinto's shares remained relatively unchanged in early afternoon trading, priced at around 5,333p. This stability, in the face of the optimistic forecast by Deutsche Bank, suggests that the market may be taking a wait-and-see approach or that various other factors are at play in influencing Rio Tinto's stock value.

The copper market continues to be one to watch. With demand set to climb on the back of techno-industrial growth and a shift toward renewable energies, supply issues will present a critical challenge for producers and an opportunity for investors. Rio Tinto, with its updated valuation by Deutsche Bank, stands out as a potential key player as this situation unfolds.

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