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Is Mattel’s Stock (NASDAQ: MAT) an ‘Attractive Value Idea’?

Asktraders News Team trader
Updated 17 Jan 2025

Investment firm DA Davidson maintains a bullish outlook on Mattel's stock (NASDAQ: MAT), declaring the toy manufacturer a “top pick” and an “attractive value idea.”

This favorable assessment comes on the heels of a positive report on holiday sales by Target Corporation (NYSE: TGT), indicating a surge in discretionary spending, particularly in the toys sector. DA Davidson sustains a Buy rating and a $27 price target on Mattel.

Mattel's stock showed a mild dip with a current price of $17.89, having largely traded in range over the past 12 months. The stock remains towards the mid point of its 52-week high of $20.60 and low of $15.87. Remarkably, Mattel's current trading value positions it at around 7 times DA Davidson's expected EBITDA for 2026—a point emphasized by analysts as a sign of its investment appeal.

With Target's significant acceleration in toy sales during the holiday period, Mattel embarks on a path to capitalize on this trend. The analysis by DA Davidson suggests that Mattel, now standing apart from Hasbro's shift towards gaming, represents a more robust investment in the traditional toy sector. This strategic positioning is deemed vital for Mattel's continued growth and presence in the market.

Mattel's stronghold in the industry is not only a matter of market dynamics but also financial soundness. The El Segundo, California-based company boasts a market capitalization of approximately $6.04 billion, with shares substantially held by institutional investors who represent 98.84% of the stock ownership. The toy maker, with well-known brands such as Barbie, Hot Wheels, and Fisher-Price, also presents a healthy financial profile, featuring a trailing P/E ratio of 11.43 and a forward P/E of 11.33.

Analysts have cast a spotlight on Mattel, reflected in a mean recommendation of ‘buy' from a collective of 14 analysts, coupled with a favorable average price target of $24.00. Investors and market watchers alike now keenly anticipate if Mattel's performance will indeed match DA Davidson's positive projection and cement its status within the consumer cyclical sector.

Mattel, known for its diverse range of toys and entertainment products, is poised for potential growth based on market trends and the company’s strategic initiatives. With DA Davidson's affirmation as a top pick and attractive value idea, Mattel appears well-positioned to capture the momentum in the discretionary spending wave, potentially leading to promising returns for investors.

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