Morgan Stanley has revised its price target on Fortinet Inc a global leader in broad, integrated, and automated cybersecurity solutions, amid growing concerns about the company's near-term performance. Fortinet's stock price (NASDAQ: FTNT) dropped 0.62% through regular trading yesterday, resulting in YTD gain remaining of 2.3%. With 52 week highs of 81.24, against lows of 44.12, the stock is trading mid-way in the range at $59.11.
Despite the down-side revision, the firm maintains an Overweight rating on Fortinet's shares. This comes as the cybersecurity company braces for its second-quarter results on August 5th, with a recent survey and market indicators pointing to potential challenges ahead.
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Hamza Fodderwala, an analyst with Morgan Stanley, highlighted that softer checks and new survey findings contribute to a more guarded view on Fortinet's performance. With the expectation that a significant firewall refresh is not anticipated until the latter half of 2025, the firm now expects a rough period for the company's product revenue.
As a result, Morgan Stanley has reduced its fiscal year 2024 product revenue forecast by 5% and now projects a 10% year-over-year decline in product revenue growth.
The expected downturn according to Morgan Stanley does have the potential to influence market sentiment, but a target drop does not tell the full story. With a target price that remains more than 15% above current levels, and an Overweight rating in place, the firm remains bullish on the stock.
Fortinet's strategy and market adaptability may play crucial roles in navigating the impending challenges. With cybersecurity remaining a critical component of modern digital infrastructure, the company's adjustments in response to these conditions will be critical for its performance moving forward.
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