Strategy, formerly MicroStrategy, has effectively transformed itself into a leveraged bet on Bitcoin, and continues to be a focal point for Wall Street. After adding a little over 10% yesterday, Strategy's stock price (NASDQ: MSTR) is riding a wave of momentum, up 40% since March 10th.
Bitcoin Holdings Impact: MicroStrategy now holds over 500,000 BTC, with the most recent acquisition of 6,911 bitcoins between March 17-23, 2025.
The company's recent announcement of acquiring an additional 6,911 bitcoins, bringing its total holdings to a staggering 506,137 BTC (worth approximately $43.8 billion), underscores its unwavering commitment to the cryptocurrency. This aggressive strategy, initiated in 2020, has turned MicroStrategy into a proxy for Bitcoin itself, with the stock's performance often mirroring the cryptocurrency's price swings.
52-Week Range: $101.00 – $543.00
50-Day Moving Average: $317.91
200-Day Moving Average: $240.03
The current price sits comfortably above both the 50-day ($317.91) and 200-day ($240.03) moving averages, a bullish signal for technical traders. However, the wide 52-week range of $101.00 to $543.00 serves as a stark reminder of the potential for large price swings. MicroStrategy's market capitalization currently stands at a hefty $84.72 billion, a figure that reflects not its software business, but primarily its massive Bitcoin treasury.
The core of MicroStrategy's strategy is a self-reinforcing cycle: use equity and debt offerings to purchase Bitcoin, potentially driving up the price of BTC, which in turn boosts MSTR's stock price, allowing for further equity issuance and more Bitcoin purchases. This creates amplified gains during Bitcoin bull runs, but also poses amplified risks during downturns. Recent financial maneuvers, including a Series A Perpetual Strife Preferred Stock offering and a $21 billion At-The-Market (ATM) program, highlight the company's continued commitment to this high-stakes approach.
Upcoming Earnings and Analyst Forecasts
The upcoming Q1 2025 earnings report, tentatively scheduled for May 6, 2025, will be a crucial event. Analysts expect a loss per share of -$0.11 and revenue of $117.08 million. The previous quarter (Q4 2024) saw a significant earnings miss, with EPS coming in at -$3.20, far below expectations, and revenue also falling short. These misses underscore the fact that MicroStrategy's traditional software business, while still operational, is increasingly overshadowed by its Bitcoin strategy. FY 2024 Revenue came in at 463.46M USD.
Analyst price targets for MSTR are, unsurprisingly, all over the map, reflecting the inherent uncertainty. Forecasts range from a relatively conservative $225 to a rather bullish $650, illustrating the split on the street. re company; it's a leveraged play on the future of a highly volatile asset.
MicroStrategy presents a rather unique proposition. It offers exposure to Bitcoin without directly holding the cryptocurrency, but with added leverage and, consequently, added risk. It's a high-wire act, and one that demands careful consideration. While the potential for outsized returns is undeniable, so too is the possibility of significant losses.
The company's future is inextricably linked to the fate of Bitcoin, making it a compelling, albeit risky, investment for those bullish on the long-term prospects of digital assets. MSTR is not for the faint of heart, and any position sizing should reflect the inherent volatility and the potential for both sides of the equation.
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