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What Is Driving Super Micro Computer Inc. (NASDAQ: SMCI) Share Price?

Analyst Team trader
Updated 6 Mar 2024

As the rollercoaster ride of the tech stock market continues, one notable player, Super Micro Computer Inc. (NASDAQ: SMCI), is exhibiting the high volatility inherent in this sector. Recently, Super Micro has become a standout performer, earning itself a place in the prestigious S&P 500. This news propelled the company's stock upwards, with a remarkable 18% surge in Monday's trading session.

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Tuesday's afternoon trading session saw a downturn with Super Micro's stock falling by over 4% before steadying the ship for the day. Despite this dip, the company's shares have shown immense growth, skyrocketing by 246% in the year 2023 alone, and showing a solid 87% increase in the year 2022. These figures are especially impressive when juxtaposed against the broader context; 2022 was recorded as the worst year for tech stocks broadly since 2008.

Super Micro's success has not just been a stroke of luck. It is partially attributed to its strategic focus on artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure, a critical area that continues to attract significant investment and attention across the globe. While Super Micro enjoys the spoils of its well-calculated business moves, not all analysts are equally bullish in their outlook. Jim Cramer, a notable CNBC analyst, highlighted a list of stocks he prefers over Super Micro, with Dell Technologies Inc. (NYSE:DELL) featuring as one of the alternatives.

In addition to varying analyst opinions, Super Micro also navigates complex geopolitical landscapes, notably the Chinese market, where regulatory hurdles concerning U.S. chip sales pose considerable challenges. Such factors play a crucial role in shaping the company's strategic decisions and market performance.

Despite these challenges, overall analyst sentiment remains relatively positive regarding Super Micro's prospects. A Moderate Buy consensus rating has emerged from Wall Street analysts, with five Buys, three Holds, and one Sell registered over the past three months. Notwithstanding these positive ratings, the average price target for SMCI stock stands at $824.11 per share. This target signals a noteworthy 19.74% downside risk from its current level, highlighting the impact of its impressive 948.41% rally over the past year.

As Super Micro continues to make waves in the fast-paced world of tech stocks, investors and market spectators will keep a close eye on how it manages growth amid market ebbs and flows. The company's focus on critical technology infrastructure, particularly in the realm of AI, suggests that its story is far from over. With SMCI up in both Tuesdays' post-market and Weds morning pre-market it will be an interesting watch.

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The AskTraders Analyst Team features experts in technical and fundamental analysis, as well as traders specializing in stocks, forex, and cryptocurrency.
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