MongoDB's stock (NASDAQ:MDB) is a leading decliner on the Nasdaq today, down 13.39% despite reporting a strong beat in third-quarter results. The stock is holding on to support at the $300 level, after running 20% in the month leading into the report. What are markets seeing in MDB?
There is an element of a response to a notable leadership shift that came out of the blue, with the CFO and COO set to depart.
The firm offered up results that shattered market expectations, with an EPS of $1.16 against a consensus of $0.69almost a 70% beat. Revenue also came in above expectations at $529 million (against $495 million). Additionally, the company provided an optimistic full-year revenue forecast. These positive developments triggered an initial surge in premarket trading, with the stock up double digits before taking an about turn
An important aspect impacting MongoDB’s stock performance was the announcement by Michael Gordon, the company's long-time Chief Financial Officer and Chief Operating Officer, of his planned retirement by the end of January. This impending departure may have prompted concerns among investors, contributing to the stock's decline.
Despite a bullish trend remaining in tact over the past six months, MongoDB shares have in fact decreased by 21% on a year-to-date. Trading a shade above $300, the 52 week high hit in February sits a long way away now up at $509.62.
The expectations for the upcoming quarter may also have implanted a little doubt in the mind of traders, with the company seeing a typical seasonal slowdown in Q4. The firm also indicated that Atlas consumption remained lower on a year-over-year basis in Q3, with an expectation of further deceleration of Atlas year-over-year growth in Q4.
Analysts came in with a range of updates on price targets with an apparently unlucky 13 straight raises coming in from the street. The high marks on the street todayof $425 (Stifel, up from $360, and Wells Fargo, up from $350) represents a significant potential upside from current price action. The highest level on the street remains at $520, with the low of $180 representing a significant spread in view. The current targets, all raises that came in today are as follows :
- $425 – Wells Fargo, Stifel
- $415 – Needham
- $405 – DA Davidson
- $400 – Barclays, Oppenheimer, Truist, RBC Capital
- $395 – KeyBanc
- $390 – Baird
- $350 – Morgan Stanley, Scotiabank
- $320 – Mizuho
While MongoDB presented strong financial results and an upbeat revenue projection, the stock faced headwinds due to some upcoming seasonality, and significant internal changes. Investors seem to be balancing a positive operational outlook with caution prompted by leadership transitions and technical market signals, with analysts remaining firmly bullish on the stock. Tomorrow may present a different picture, but for now, MDB remains a laggard on the market.
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